全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): National responsibilities for adaptation strategies: Lessons from four modelling frameworks.

G2TT

来源类型	Book Section
	National responsibilities for adaptation strategies: Lessons from four modelling frameworks.
	Aaheim A; Dokken T; Hochrainer-Stigler S; Hof A; Jochem E; Mechler R; van Vuuren DP; Neufeldt H; Hulme, M.; Neufedlt, H.
发表日期	2010
出处	Making Climate Change Work for Us. Eds. Hulme, M. & Neufedlt, H. , Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 980521119412
出版年	2010
语种	英语
摘要	In this work we present an approach toward the sensitivity analysis of optimal economic growth to a negative environmental impact driven by random natural hazards that damage the production output. We use a simplified model of the GDP growth. We assume that production leads to th increase of the atmospheric GHG provided investment in cleaning is insufficient. The hypothesis of the Poisson probability distribution of the frequency of natural hazards is used at the this research stage. We apply the standard utility function-the discounted integral consumption and construct an optimal investment policy in production and cleaning together with optiml GDP trajectories. We calibrate the model in the global scale and analyze the sensitivity of obtained optimal growth scenarios with respect to uncertain parameters of the Poisson distribution.
主题	Risk and Vulnerability (RAV)
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9352/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/134135
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Aaheim A,Dokken T,Hochrainer-Stigler S,et al. National responsibilities for adaptation strategies: Lessons from four modelling frameworks.. 2010.