Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Book Section |
Chapter 7 - Energy systems. | |
Bruckner T; Bashmakov IA; Mulugetta Y; Chum H; De la Vega Navarro A; Edmonds J; Faaij A; Fungtammasan B | |
发表日期 | 2014 |
出处 | Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. IPCC Working Group III Contribution to AR5. Cambridge University Press. |
出版年 | 2014 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Stabilizing greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations will require large-scale transformations in human societies, from the way that we produce and consume energy to how we use the land surface. A natural question in this context is what will be the .transformation pathway. towards stabilization; that is, how do we get from here to there? The topic of this chapter is transformation pathways. The chapter is primarily motivated by three questions. First, what are the near-term and future choices that define transformation pathways, including the goal itself, the emissions pathway to the goal, technologies used for and sectors contributing to mitigation, the nature of international coordination, and mitigation policies? Second, what are the key characteristics of different transformation pathways, including the rates of emissions reductions and deployment of low-carbon energy, the magnitude and timing of aggregate economic costs, and the implications for other policy objectives such as those generally associated with sustainable development? Third, how will actions taken today influence the options that might be available in the future? As part of the assessment in this chapter, data from over 1000 new scenarios published since the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) were collected from integrated modelling research groups, many from large-scale model intercomparison studies. In comparison to AR4, new scenarios, both in this AR5 dataset and more broadly in the literature assessed in this chapter, consider more ambitious concentration goals, a wider range of assumptions about technology, and more possibilities for delays in additional global mitigation beyond that of today and fragmented international action. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11118/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/134365 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bruckner T,Bashmakov IA,Mulugetta Y,et al. Chapter 7 - Energy systems.. 2014. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
ipcc_wg3_ar5_chapter(3724KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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