| 来源类型 | Book Section |
| DOI | 10.1007/978-94-017-9376-6_89 |
| Towards a Catholic North America. | |
| Goujon A; Malenfant EC; Skirbekk V; Brunn, Stanley D. | |
| 发表日期 | 2015 |
| 出处 | The Changing World Religion Map. Sacred Places, Identities, Practices and Politics. Eds. Brunn, Stanley D. , pp. 1689-1709 Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer. ISBN 978-940179376-6 DOI: 10.1007/978-94-017-9376-6_89 . |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Religion and religiosity are important identity markers, and changes in a country's religious composition may affect its culture, value orientations and policies. In recent decades the Protestants in both the U.S. and Canada have lost their absolute population majority. We investigate the future of the religious composition in both the US ad Canada jointly to the 2060s taking into consideration changes due to demography, the level and composition of migration, fertility differentials and intergenerational religious transmissions. We use a multi-dimensional cohort-component model to project from the early 2000s the populations of Canada and the U.S. separately according to various scenarios. The joint focus on both the U.S. and Canada allows one to better understand the commonalities and differences between these two nations which are tightly knit in terms of geography, politics, economics and culture. The results of the projections are sensitive to two main determinants: secularization and migration in terms of level and composition. Fertility also plays a role particularly in combination with migration patterns. At present, Catholics increase their proportion through immigraton as the share of Catholics among migrants to the U.S. is larger than other religions and their fertility is higher than the U.S. resident population. The contrary is happening in Canada, and fertility differentials benefit Protestants and migration lowers the Catholic share. The projections reveal that North America should not become Catholic by mid-century but close to, with an increasing importance of minorities in the religious landscape. |
| 主题 | World Population (POP) |
| 关键词 | fertility migration multistate projections religious composition secularization transmission of eligion U.S. and Canada |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11568/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/134393 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Goujon A,Malenfant EC,Skirbekk V,et al. Towards a Catholic North America.. 2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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