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Quantitative risk-cost-benefit analysis of selected mitigation options for two case studies.
Narasimhan H; Faber MH; Remaitre A; Malet J-P; Eidsvig U; Hochrainer-Stigler S; Cascini L; Ferlisi S
发表日期2012
出处Deliverable 5.3, FP7 SafeLand Project - Living with Landslide Risk in Europe, WP 5.1 (February 2012)
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要Decision making in general is a difficult issue due to the significant underlying uncertainties and complex interrelation of events and choices affecting the benefits and losses associated with decisions. Typical decision problems are subject to a combination of inherent, modelling and statistical uncertainties. This is primarily due to the fact that our understanding of the issues involved in the decision problems is often far less than perfect and that it is only possible to model the involved processes of physical phenomena as well as human interactions in rather uncertain terms. If all aspects of a decision problem would be known with certainty, the identification of optimal decisions would be straightforward by means of traditional cost-benefit analysis. Due to the existing uncertainties, it is not possible to assess the results of decisions in certain terms. There is hence no way to assess with certainty the consequences resulting from the decisions we make. However, what can be assessed is the risk associated with the different decision alternatives. Based on risk assessments, decision alternatives may then be consistently ranked on the basis of their associated utilities and benefits/losses, thereby providing a rational basis for societal decision making.
主题Risk, Policy and Vulnerability (RPV) ; Risk & ; Resilience (RISK)
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10113/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/135439
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Narasimhan H,Faber MH,Remaitre A,et al. Quantitative risk-cost-benefit analysis of selected mitigation options for two case studies.. 2012.
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