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来源类型 | Other |
规范类型 | 其他 |
A Cross-Model Comparison of Global Long-Term Technology Diffusion under a 2 Degree C Climate Change Control Target. | |
van der Zwaan B; Roesler H; Kober T; Aboumahboub T; Calvin K; Gernaat D; Marangoni G; McCollum DL | |
发表日期 | 2013 |
出处 | LIMITS Special Issue, FP7 LIMITS Project |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We investigate the long-term global energy technology diffusion patterns required to reach a stringent climate change target with a maximum average atmospheric temperature increase of 2 degrees C. If the anthropogenic temperature increase is to be limited to 2 degrees C, total CO2 emissions have to be reduced massively, so as to reach substantial negative values during the second half of the century. Particularly power sector CO2 emissions should become deeply negative from around 2050 onwards in order to compensate for GHG emissions in other sectors where abatement is more costly. The annual additional capacity deployment intensity (expressed in GW/yr) for solar and wind energy until 2030 needs to be around that recently observed for coal-based power plants, and will have to be several times higher in the period 2030-2050. Relatively high agreement exists in terms of the aggregated low-carbon energy system cost requirements on the supply side until 2050, which amount to about 50 trillion US$. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) |
关键词 | Climate policies Low-carbon energy growth Technological innovation Mitigation costs |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10623/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/135513 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | van der Zwaan B,Roesler H,Kober T,et al. A Cross-Model Comparison of Global Long-Term Technology Diffusion under a 2 Degree C Climate Change Control Target.. 2013. |
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