| 来源类型 | Other |
| Simulating stakeholder-driven food and climate scenarios for policy development in Africa, Asia and Latin America A multi-regional synthesis. | |
| Vervoort J; Havlik P; Mason-D’Croz D; Islam S | |
| 发表日期 | 2014 |
| 出处 | CGIAR-CCAFS , Copenhagen, Denmark. |
| 出版年 | 2014 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) engaged stakeholders in Africa, Asia and Latin America in the development of regional socioeconomic scenarios for policy development. These scenarios were framed and outlined by regional experts and then quantified using the IMPACT and GLOBIOM models. The scenarios were used in a number of policy design processes at national and regional levels. The model results show that investment in agriculture is essential to close yield gaps needed for growing demand, and that increases in production costs increases these yield gaps. However, even under high agricultural investments, regional production is unlikely to meet regional demand. In many cases, the socio-economic assumptions of the scenarios are more impactful than climate effects on yields. Increased yields can lead to crop area expansion, and the protection and enforcement of forests and biodiversity is essential, especially with increased investment in agriculture. The CCAFS scenarios process show the need to combine socio-economic and climate scenarios, to base these scenarios in regional expertise, and ways to make scenarios useful for policy design. |
| 主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
| 关键词 | Policy data nalysis data collection stakeholders governance climate change adaptation models food security agricultureE climate chante |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14259/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/135640 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Vervoort J,Havlik P,Mason-D’Croz D,et al. Simulating stakeholder-driven food and climate scenarios for policy development in Africa, Asia and Latin America A multi-regional synthesis.. 2014. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| WP_109%285%29.pdf（3485KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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