| 来源类型 | Other |
| Towards pathways bending the curve terrestrial biodiversity trends within the 21st century. | |
| Leclere D; Alkemade R; Almond R; Barrett M; Bunting G; Burgess N; Butchart S | |
| 发表日期 | 2018 |
| 出处 | IIASA DOI: 10.22022/ESM/04-2018.15241 . |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Unless actions are taken to reduce multiple anthropogenic pressures, biodiversity is expected to continue declining at an alarming rate. Models and scenarios can be used to help design the pathways to sustain a thriving nature and its ability to contribute to people. This approach has so far been hampered by the complexity associated with combining projections of pressures on, and subsequent responses from, biodiversity. Most previous assessments have projected continuous biodiversity declines and very few have identified pathways for reversing the loss of biodiversity without jeopardizing other objectives such as development or climate mitigation. The Bending The Curve initiative set out to advance quantitative modelling techniques towards ambitious scenarios for biodiversity. In this proof-of-concept analysis, we developed a modelling approach that demonstrates how global land use and biodiversity models can shed light on wedges able to bend the curve of biodiversity trends as affected by land-use change, the biggest current threat to biodiversity. In order to address the uncertainties associated with such pathways we used a multi-model framework and relied on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway/Representative Concentration Pathway scenario framework. This report describes the details of this modelling approach. |
| 主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15241/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/135783 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Leclere D,Alkemade R,Almond R,et al. Towards pathways bending the curve terrestrial biodiversity trends within the 21st century.. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Leclere_et_al_IIASA_（1472KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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