G2TT
来源类型Working Papers
规范类型论文
来源IDWP-2017-002
Wind Capacity Investments: Inefficient Drivers and Long-Term Impacts
Ian Schneider and Mardavij Roozbehani
发表日期2017-01
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要

A pure energy-only market has been shown, under certain conditions, to create the optimal incentives for market entry and exit. This research extends these results to the case of potential entrants with variable and non-controllable production, such as wind generators. The research shows how the stochasticity of the wind resource implies a trade-off between sites with higher capacity factors and higher covariance with prices at the efficient frontier. The analysis suggests that the Production Tax Credit (PTC), along with some capacity mechanisms, bias wind investment towards high-producing sites but with lower covariance of their variable output with market prices. Furthermore, since wind production depresses prices, this bias is linked to covariance between wind sites. Fixed-price support mechanisms like the PTC lead to market equilibriums with higher levels of wind correlation. The long-run effiects of correlation in the wind investment portfolio in a theoretical market are somewhat nuanced, depending on the nature of the joint distribution of wind availability; they may be incorrectly interpreted in the usual discourse.

URLhttp://ceepr.mit.edu/publications/working-papers/655
来源智库Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/172807
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ian Schneider and Mardavij Roozbehani. Wind Capacity Investments: Inefficient Drivers and Long-Term Impacts. 2017.
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2017-002-Brief.pdf(1959KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
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文件名: 2017-002.pdf
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