G2TT
来源类型Project
规范类型研究项目
The Outlook for the Cost of Solar Power until 2050
其他题名A conservative estimate of the long-term potential for cost-reduction in photovoltaics
Daniel Fürstenwerth
开始日期2015-05
结束日期2015-05
语种英语
摘要

Technological progress in photovoltaics has led to a radical decline in the price of power from solar energy. If this continues as in recent years, similar to price falls in mobile telephony, it could have a considerable effect on the German and European electricity system. Technology experts have long envisioned such a scenario, and it has now become a widely accepted view in the strategy departments of major energy suppliers and investment banks. 

On a political level, however, such scenarios have not yet been taken seriously. For example, the network development plan of the BNA federal network agency foresees an end to the expansion of solar power around the year 2020. A fact-based debate about the long-term effects of technological advances is not yet taking place. At the same time, there is a danger that many strategic plans that are still easy to put in place today, will be hard to reverse if technological leaps occur within just a few years. Based on many discussions with experts, Agora Energiewende has commissioned the Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems to conduct a study that conservatively estimates the potential for cost-reduction in photovoltaics. Possible technological advances could make solar power even cheaper, although this has not yet been considered.

主题Electricity Production ; Data and Tools
URLhttps://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/projects/the-outlook-for-the-cost-of-solar-power-until-2050/
来源智库Agora Energiewende (Germany)
资源类型智库项目
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/176941
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Daniel Fürstenwerth. The Outlook for the Cost of Solar Power until 2050. 2015.
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