G2TT
来源类型Working Papers
规范类型论文
The DICER Model: Methodological Issues and Initial Results
Ramon Arigoni Ortiz; Alexander Golub$Oleg Lugovoy; Anil Markandya and James Wang
发表日期2010-09-14
出处BC3 WORKING PAPER SERIES : 2010-11
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要

This paper introduces DICER, a model for the integrated assessment of climate – economy interactions within an optimal growth framework developed based on the structure of the DICE2007 model. We present the methodological differences introduced so far in DICER and some preliminary results of its deterministic version. We observe interesting results in comparison to other IAMs, such as (i) lower peak temperatures; (ii) radiative forcing differences; (iii) differences in control rates; and (iv) sensitivity of results to parameters such as climate sensitivity. A further innovation of this work has been to account for uncertainty and risk through an application of option pricing. The method allows for a simple representation of the risks through measures of volatility in the damages and abatement costs and shows that taking these factors into account lowers maximum mean temperatures by about 0.5oC. We also present some methodological issues that need to be dealt with in the near future in DICER.

关键词Climate change Integrated Impact Assessment Model (IAM) damage function
URLhttps://www.bc3research.org/workingpapers/2010-11.html
来源智库Basque Centre for Climate Change (Spain)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/176971
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ramon Arigoni Ortiz,Alexander Golub$Oleg Lugovoy,Anil Markandya and James Wang. The DICER Model: Methodological Issues and Initial Results. 2010.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 资源类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
BC3WP201011.pdf(624KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Ramon Arigoni Ortiz]的文章
[Alexander Golub$Oleg Lugovoy]的文章
[Anil Markandya and James Wang]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Ramon Arigoni Ortiz]的文章
[Alexander Golub$Oleg Lugovoy]的文章
[Anil Markandya and James Wang]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Ramon Arigoni Ortiz]的文章
[Alexander Golub$Oleg Lugovoy]的文章
[Anil Markandya and James Wang]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
文件名: BC3WP201011.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。