G2TT
来源类型Working Papers
规范类型论文
Trends in Income and Price Elasticities of Transport Demand (1850-2010)
Roger Fouquet
发表日期2012-02-24
出处BC3 WORKING PAPER SERIES : 2012-01
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要

The purpose of this paper is to estimate trends in income and price elasticities and to offer insights for the future growth in transport use, with particular emphasis on the impact of energy and technological transitions. The results indicate that income and price elasticities of passenger transport demand in the United Kingdom were very large (3.1 and -1.5, respectively) in the mid-nineteenth century, and declined since then. In 2010, long run income and price elasticity of aggregate land transport demand were estimated to be 0.8 and -0.6. These trends suggest that future elasticities related to transport demand in developed economies may decline very gradually and, in developing economies, where elasticities are often larger, they will probably decline more rapidly as the economies develop. Because of the declining trends in elasticities, future energy and technological transitions are not likely to generate the growth rates in energy consumption that occurred following transitions in the nineteenth century. Nevertheless, energy and technological transitions, such as the car and the airplane, appear to have delayed and probably will delay declining trends in income and price elasticity of aggregate land transport demand.

关键词Energy Services Demand Transport Economic Development Rebound Effect.
URLhttps://www.bc3research.org/workingpapers/2012-01.html
来源智库Basque Centre for Climate Change (Spain)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/176990
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Roger Fouquet. Trends in Income and Price Elasticities of Transport Demand (1850-2010). 2012.
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