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来源类型 | Working Papers |
规范类型 | 论文 |
Regional IAM: analysis of risk-adjusted costs and benefits of climate policies | |
Alexander Golub; Oleg Lugovoy; Anil Markandya; Ramon Arigoni Ortiz and James Wang | |
发表日期 | 2013-02-12 |
出处 | BC3 WORKING PAPER SERIES : 2013-06 |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Across the full range of publications in the field of economics of climate change there is perhaps only one firm agreement: both costs and benefits of climate policy are highly uncertain. In an ideal world one would wait until a good deal of uncertainty is resolved and then make a final decision. Usually in the economic literature it would be interpreted as adopting a relatively weak policy now and adjusting it later. Unfortunately, in the context of path-dependency and irreversibility of climatic events there is no way to preserve a full flexibility for the future: near-term selection of an interim climate policy implies some irreversible consequences. Continued accumulation of GHG in the atmosphere makes some policy targets (expressed in temperature level or GHG ppm concentration) infeasible. The paper examines the application of real option analysis to calculate costs and benefits of an interim climate policy. In contrast to conventional CBA, the proposed methodology also accounts for lost and gained flexibility attributed to the adoption of an interim target. |
关键词 | Climate policy integrated impact assessment model uncertainty real option analysis |
URL | https://www.bc3research.org/workingpapers/2013-06.html |
来源智库 | Basque Centre for Climate Change (Spain) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/177009 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Alexander Golub,Oleg Lugovoy,Anil Markandya,et al. Regional IAM: analysis of risk-adjusted costs and benefits of climate policies. 2013. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
BC3WP201306.pdf(680KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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