G2TT
来源类型Working Papers
规范类型论文
New climate scenario framework implementation in the GCAM integrated assessment model
Iñigo Capellán-Pérez; Mikel González-Eguino; Iñaki Arto; Alberto Ansuategi; Kishore Dhavala; Pralit Patel; Anil Markandya
发表日期2014-08-27
出处BC3 WORKING PAPER SERIES : 2014-04
出版年2014
语种英语
摘要

This report has various objectives: (i) to provide an overview of the climate Integrated Assessment approach; (ii) to describe the Global Climate Assessment Model (GCAM); (iii) to outline the new IPCC scenario framework represented by the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) and the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs); and (iv) to document the implementation of the new scenario framework in version 3.1 of the GCAM. The GCAM baseline is thus calibrated to the “Middle of the Road” or SSP2 scenario using the data calculated by the OECD. The implications of this scenario are important because it will probably become a standard scenario among the research community. The exogenous variables, the implications for income convergence and the results in terms of energy mix, emissions, temperature and radiative forcing of SSP2 implementation in the GCAM are presented at both global and regional levels. These results are also compared with the GCAM-Reference baseline and the IPCC SRES representative scenarios. Then the feasibility, cost and implications of a climate policy that seeks to stabilize temperature at 2ºC (2.6 W/m2 RCP) using a global uniform carbon tax are analyzed. The study is completed by a decomposition analysis that enables the main driving factors of CO2 variation to be identified, including population, affluence, energy intensity, carbon intensity and fossil-fuel share of the energy mix. Finally we draw some conclusions and highlight points for further research.

关键词SSPs Integrated Assessment Model long-run projections energy systems climate stabilization.
URLhttps://www.bc3research.org/workingpapers/2014-04.html
来源智库Basque Centre for Climate Change (Spain)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/177021
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Iñigo Capellán-Pérez,Mikel González-Eguino,Iñaki Arto,et al. New climate scenario framework implementation in the GCAM integrated assessment model. 2014.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 资源类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
BC3WP201404.pdf(2263KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Iñigo Capellán-Pérez]的文章
[Mikel González-Eguino]的文章
[Iñaki Arto]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Iñigo Capellán-Pérez]的文章
[Mikel González-Eguino]的文章
[Iñaki Arto]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Iñigo Capellán-Pérez]的文章
[Mikel González-Eguino]的文章
[Iñaki Arto]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
文件名: BC3WP201404.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。