G2TT
来源类型Papers
规范类型论文
来源IDCIGI Papers No. 90
Is Indonesia the Next China?
Wendy K. Dobson
发表日期2016-02-09
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要

This paper reviews Indonesia’s economic prospects and what these imply for a closer relationship with Canada. By posing the question “Is Indonesia the next China?,” the author suggests that Indonesia has the considerable economic potential envisaged by foreign investors, but conveys uncertainty as to whether Southeast Asia’s most populous country can make the changes necessary to realize that potential. A review of the economic record and comparison of China’s and Indonesia’s economic structures, endowments and institutions show major differences between the two countries. The paper further questions what it will take to realize Indonesia’s potential, finding the answers to be: human capital development; increased participation in the region’s global value chains; meeting the growing middle-class demand for modern services; raising productivity in agriculture and fishing; and increasing use of the Internet. Failure to make these changes will increase the chances of Indonesia’s growth in per capita incomes slowing and falling into the middle-income trap. Canada’s role will be to monitor closely how Indonesia tackles its five priorities at the same time as it responds to the opportunities to exploit Indonesia’s abundant natural resources, urbanization and its expanding consumer demand for modern services and educational opportunities.

主题Conflict Management & Security ; Innovation & Productivity ; Trade & Finance
子主题Asia & Pacific
URLhttps://www.cigionline.org/publications/indonesia-next-china
来源智库Centre for International Governance Innovation (Canada)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/180544
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GB/T 7714
Wendy K. Dobson. Is Indonesia the Next China?. 2016.
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