| 来源类型 | Green Policy |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| A medium term environmental outlook of Korea | |
| Kang, Sung Won | |
| 发表日期 | 2012-12-31 |
| 出版年 | 2012 |
| 语种 | 英语 ; Korean |
| 摘要 | This report is the first part of two year research. We try to identify environmental policy task from year 2014 to 2023, by analyzing socio-economic trend. Also we planed to design policy to face those tasks. The research consists of four steps: (1) Socio-economic trend analysis (2) Identification of environmental policy task. (3) Scenario set up (4) design environmental strategy to face new challenges. In first year, we work on the first two steps. On first step, we analyzed social and economic trends. On social trend analysis, we focused on population related issues - population growth, population aging, urbanization, and growing income gap. Also, we devide economic trend analysis into three parts: production, consumption, globalization. In production part, we covered economic growth, industry composition, energy, and agriculture. In consumption part, we covered consumption pattern change following income growth. In globalization part, we covered the growth of various transportation. Regarding social trend, environmental burden due to population growth would be lessened because the population growth itself would slow down. But, the urban area such as motor ways would expand gradually, and that would increase environmental burden. Also, environmentally less protected population would grow because of rapid aging and growning income gap. In production part among economic trends, we found that the environmental burden would grow because of gradual economic growth, manufacture-dominated industry structure, fossile-fuel demand increase, and the growth of meat production. Since export manufacturing is leading Korean economic growth, the gradual economic growth of Korean economy would make environmental burden heavier. Also, while the industrial energy demand would dominate, commercial-public-household energy demand would grow faster. And these energy demand would be met mainly by fossile-fuel, which would increase GHG and air pollutant emission. Regarding agriculture, income growth tends to increase meat production and emission of livestock wastewater, which would worsen water pollution. |
| 来源智库 | Korea Evironment Institute (Republic of Korea) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/198604 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kang, Sung Won. A medium term environmental outlook of Korea. 2012. |
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