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来源类型 | Working papers |
规范类型 | 论文 |
DOI | 10.3929/ethz-a-006519301 |
Growth on a finite planet: resources, technology and population in the long run | |
Valente, Simone; Peretto, Pietro F. | |
发表日期 | 2011-06 |
出版者 | ETH Zurich, Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) |
出版年 | 2011 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We study the interactions between technological change, resource scarcity and population dynamics in a Schumpeterian model with endogenous fertility. There exists a pseudo-Malthusian equilibrium in which population is constant and income grows exponentially: the equilibrium population level is determined by resource scarcity but is independent of technology. The stability properties are driven by (i) the income reaction to increased resource scarcity and (ii) the fertility response to income dynamics. If labor and resources are substitutes in production, income and fertility dynamics are self-balancing and the pseudo-Malthusian equilibrium is the global attractor of the system. If labor and resources are complements, income and fertility dynamics are self-reinforcing and drive the economy towards either demographic explosion or human extinction. Introducing a minimum resource requirement, we obtain a second steady state implying constant population even under complementarity. The standard result of exponential population growth appears as a rather special case of our model. |
主题 | Endogenous innovation ; Resource scarcity ; Population growth ; Fertility choices |
URL | https://www.research-collection.ethz.ch/handle/20.500.11850/40235 |
来源智库 | Centre for Energy Policy and Economics (Switzerland) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/266688 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Valente, Simone,Peretto, Pietro F.. Growth on a finite planet: resources, technology and population in the long run. 2011. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
eth-2850-01.pdf(1519KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
eth-2850-01.jpg(3KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | ![]() 浏览 |
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