| 来源类型 | Working papers
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| 规范类型 | 论文
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| DOI | 10.3929/ethz-a-010475946
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| Illegal immigration, deportation policy, and the optimal timing of return |
| Vinogradova, Alexandra
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| 发表日期 | 2015-07
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| 出版者 | ETH Zurich, Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH)
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| 出版年 | 2015
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | Countries with strict immigration policies often resort to deportation measures to reduce their stocks of illegal immigrants. Many of their undocumented foreign workers, however, are not deported but rather choose to return home voluntarily. This paper studies the optimizing behavior of undocumented immigrants who continuously face the risk of deportation, modeled by a stochastic process, and must decide how long to remain in the host country. It is found that the presence of uncertainty with respect to the length of stay abroad unambiguously reduces the desired migration duration and may trigger a voluntary return when a permanent stay would otherwise be optimal. Voluntary return is motivated by both economic and psychological factors. Calibration of the model to match the evidence on undocumented Thai migrants in Japan suggests that the psychological impact of being abroad as an illegal alien may be equivalent to as large as a 68% cut in the consumption rate at the point of return. |
| 主题 | Illegal immigration
; Deportation
; Optimal return
; Uncertainty
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| URL | https://www.research-collection.ethz.ch/handle/20.500.11850/110954
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| 来源智库 | Centre for Energy Policy and Economics (Switzerland)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/266750
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Vinogradova, Alexandra. Illegal immigration, deportation policy, and the optimal timing of return. 2015.
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