G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型论文
How Can Indonesia Achieve Its Climate Change Mitigation Goal? An Analysis of Potential Emissions Reductions from Energy and Land-Use Policies
Arief Wijaya; Hanny Chrysolite; Mengpin Ge; Clorinda Kurnia Wibowo; Almo Pradana; Andhyta Firselly Utami; Kemen Austin
发表日期2017-10
出版年2017
语种英语
概述

Executive Summary

结论
  • Existing policies in the land-use and energy sectors, even if fully implemented, will cut emissions by an estimated 547 MtCO2 against our Reference scenario, resulting in an emissions level of approximately 2,311 MtCO2 for the land-use and energy sectors alone, which is too high to meet the unconditional target of 2,037 MtCO2e (a 29 percent reduction over business as usual) set in Indonesia’s NDC.
  • Implementation of strengthened policies would reduce total emissions to approximately 1,733 MtCO2, thus surpassing the unconditional target of 29 percent. This highlights the importance of strengthening government efforts for achieving its climate action targets.
  • Indonesia’s forest moratorium is the single policy with the largest mitigation potential (Figure ES2). If the policy is renewed through 2030 in its current form, it could reduce emissions by approximately 188 MtCO2 by 2030. Expanding the forest moratorium to include additional secondary forest and forest areas under concession licenses could reduce emissions as much as 437 MtCO2 in 2030.
  • With the energy sector projected to dominate Indonesia’s greenhouse gas emissions by 2026–27, promoting renewable energy source and energy conservation offers significant emissions abatement potential. Achieving a renewable energy mix target could reduce emissions from the Reference scenario by approximately 266 MtCO2 by 2030. Combined with an energy conservation policy, the potential emissions reduction could increase to approximately 544 MtCO2 by that year.
  • Early actions to promote clean and renewable energy and implement energy conservation measures will reduce the expense of achieving further emissions reductions in the long term. Delaying these actions could lead to infrastructure developments that lock in emissions-intensive pathways that may be expensive or impossible to change in time to limit warming.
摘要

Indonesia is one of the world’s largest emitters of greenhouse gases (GHG). For the past two decades, GHG emissions have increased from almost all sectors, such as land-use (defined as land use, land-use change, and forestry including peat fires), energy, agriculture, industry, and waste. Currently, the land-use and energy sector contribute to 80 percent of greenhouse gas emissions in Indonesia. The national government of Indonesia has committed to reducing unconditionally GHG emissions by 29 percent against a 2030 business-as-usual (BAU) scenario and by up to 41 percent below the 2030 BAU level, subject to international assistance for finance, technology transfer, and capacity building.

This paper provides information for policy-makers, business leaders, and civil society organizations to understand mitigation options, assess opportunities, prioritize actions, and develop strategies for meeting Indonesia’s climate targets. As the first publicly available study that quantifies the emissions abatement potential of different mitigation policies in Indonesia, the study seeks to answering the following questions:

  • To what extent would existing mitigation policies and targets in Indonesia’s land-use and energy sectors contribute to the mitigation goals set in its NDC?
  • To what extent would strengthened policies and targets in the land-use and energy sectors contribute to the mitigation goals set in its NDC?
主题Climate
标签climate policy ; climate ; energy ; forests ; GHG ; greenhouse gases ; indonesia
区域Indonesia
URLhttps://www.wri.org/publication/how-can-indonesia-achieve-its-climate-goal
来源智库World Resources Institute (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/28056
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Arief Wijaya,Hanny Chrysolite,Mengpin Ge,et al. How Can Indonesia Achieve Its Climate Change Mitigation Goal? An Analysis of Potential Emissions Reductions from Energy and Land-Use Policies. 2017.
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