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来源类型 | Peer-reviewed Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
Modeling Future Urban Sprawl and Landscape Change in the Laguna de Bay Area, Philippines | |
Brian JOHNSON; Isao ENDO | |
发表日期 | 2017-06 |
出版者 | MDPI AG |
出版年 | 2017 |
页码 | 26 |
语种 | 英语 |
概述 | This study uses a spatially-explicit land-use/land-cover (LULC) modeling approach to model and map the future (2016–2030) LULC of the area surrounding the Laguna de Bay of... |
摘要 | This study uses a spatially-explicit land-use/land-cover (LULC) modeling approach to model and map the future (2016–2030) LULC of the area surrounding the Laguna de Bay of Philippines under three different scenarios: ‘business-as-usual’, ‘compact development’, and ‘high sprawl’ scenarios. The Laguna de Bay is the largest lake in the Philippines and an important natural resource for the population in/around Metro Manila. The LULC around the lake is rapidly changing due to urban sprawl, so local and national government agencies situated in the area need an understanding of the future (likely) LULC changes and their associated hydrological impacts. The spatial modeling approach involved three main steps: (1) mapping the locations of past LULC changes; (2) identifying the drivers of these past changes; and (3) identifying where and when future LULC changes are likely to occur. Utilizing various publically-available spatial datasets representing potential drivers of LULC changes, a LULC change model was calibrated using the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) neural network algorithm. After calibrating the model, future LULC changes were modeled and mapped up to the year 2030. Our modeling results showed that the ‘built-up’ LULC class is likely to experience the greatest increase in land area due to losses in ‘crop/grass’ (and to a lesser degree ‘tree’) LULC, and this is attributed to continued urban sprawl. |
主题 | Resilient Livelihoods |
区域 | Philippines |
URL | https://pub.iges.or.jp/pub/modeling-future-urban-sprawl-and-landscape |
来源智库 | Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (Japan) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/311374 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Brian JOHNSON,Isao ENDO. Modeling Future Urban Sprawl and Landscape Change in the Laguna de Bay Area, Philippines. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
land-06-00026.pdf(8635KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
b2d129b7ec0dcf365069(5KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | ![]() 浏览 |
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