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来源类型Peer-reviewed Article
规范类型其他
Ex-post assessment of the Kyoto Protocol – quantification of CO 2 mitigation impact in both Annex B and non-Annex B countries-
Akihisa KURIYAMA
发表日期2018-04
出版者Elsevier Inc.
出版年2018
页码286-295
语种英语
概述The Kyoto Protocol implemented the first international top-down mechanisms and provided mitigation incentives for both Annex B and non-Annex B countries. An assessment of the Kyoto...
摘要

The Kyoto Protocol implemented the first international top-down mechanisms and provided mitigation incentives for both Annex B and non-Annex B countries. An assessment of the Kyoto Protocol would contribute to the fundamental discussion on designing future mitigation mechanisms under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, while the use of a top-down approach that includes an emission trading scheme appears important for achieving the 2 °C target. This paper summarizes the existing literature and quantifies the effects of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction impacts from the Kyoto Protocol using the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology (STIRPAT) approach for Annex B countries and 'additionality' assessment of Clean Development Mechanisms (CDM) projects for non-Annex B countries. We found that the Kyoto Protocol brought about 951 Mt CO2e of real emission reductions in all over the world, mainly from implementing non-energy-related GHG emission reduction projects in non-Annex B countries. For the Annex B countries, 76 Mt CO2e of mitigation occurred during the preparation stage of the first commitment period (2005–2007), but no further effects were observed during the first commitment period (2008–2012). The following important lessons were learned from the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol: (1) insufficient emission caps did not provide any mitigation incentives; rather, they resulted in perverse effects amounting to 12 Mt CO2e, which increased emissions in certain Annex B countries with economies in transition; and (2) since 42% of energy-related projects in non-Annex B countries were assessed as non-additional projects, more attention needs to be paid to the design of international cooperation mechanisms.

主题Mitigation
区域Worldwide
URLhttps://pub.iges.or.jp/pub/ex-post-assessment-kyoto-protocol-%E2%80%93
来源智库Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (Japan)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/311738
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Akihisa KURIYAMA. Ex-post assessment of the Kyoto Protocol – quantification of CO 2 mitigation impact in both Annex B and non-Annex B countries-. 2018.
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