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Why do Oil Shocks no Longer Shock?
Paul Segal
发表日期2007-10-01
出版年2007
页码18
语种英语
概述Oil prices and economic cycles have been firmly linked in the public imagination since the oil shocks of the 1970s, and the global recessions that followed. Spurred by these events, economists in the 1980s analysed the relationship in a number of econometric studies, demonstrating a negative correlation in the US and other industrial countries between […]
摘要Oil prices and economic cycles have been firmly linked in the public imagination since the oil shocks of the 1970s, and the global recessions that followed. Spurred by these events, economists in the 1980s analysed the relationship in a number of econometric studies, demonstrating a negative correlation in the US and other industrial countries between oil prices and macroeconomic performance. Yet while the association is unambiguous at least in the US up to the early 1980s, at some point thereafter the relationship appeared to attenuate, and in the last few years we have witnessed a steady rise in the price of oil to historically high levels with no observable negative impact on macroeconomic indicators. In this paper I review the literature on the impact of oil price shocks and use the resulting analysis to explain the minimal impact of high oil prices today.
主题Energy Economics ; Oil ; Oil & Middle East Programme
关键词DSGE Model High Oil Prices Inflation Macroeconomy Mechanism Monetary Policy Oil Prices Oil Shocks The Global Economy WPM 35 WPM35
URLhttps://www.oxfordenergy.org/publications/why-do-oil-shocks-no-longer-shock/
来源智库Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/312106
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GB/T 7714
Paul Segal. Why do Oil Shocks no Longer Shock?. 2007.
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