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Scenario Planning, using ‘drivers of change’, is a tool to facilitate strategic thinking and policy decisions. Until recently, it has most commonly been associated with the corporate world, or with governments, or the military. However, scenario planning can be employed equally well to help vulnerable or marginalised communities - such as pastoralists - influence policy decisions that affect their lives. It is therefore a valuable tool for use in the development field.

This booklet focuses on the mechanics of scenario planning with nomadic pastoralists, whose oral traditions of reflection going back 50 or 100 years lends itself perfectly to the analytical concept of ‘drivers of change’. The middle section of the booklet provides a step-by-step how to guide for field workers using scenario planning to elicit pastoralists’ opinions about national policies that impact on their lives and livelihoods – such as education. Through the use of scenario planning pastoralists become empowered, and thus instrumental in influencing key policy decisions, or the allocation of resources.

This booklet can be used as a `stand alone' guide, or in conjunction with `Planning with Uncertainty: Using Scenario Planning with African Pastoralists'. Click on more information to download this title.