| 来源类型 | Report |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| 2015 Global Forecast | |
| Craig Cohen; Josiane Gabel; J. Stephen Morrison | |
| 发表日期 | 2014-11-11 |
| 出版年 | 2014 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 概述 | Maintaining international security and pursuing American interests is more difficult now than perhaps at any time in history. The security environment that the United States faces is more complex$dynamic$and difficult to predict. At the same time$no domestic consensus... |
| 摘要 | Maintaining international security and pursuing American interests is more difficult now than perhaps at any time in history. The security environment that the United States faces is more complex, dynamic, and difficult to predict. At the same time, no domestic consensus exists on the purposes of American power and how best to pursue them. The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) will look ahead in this annual volume at the crises and opportunities that will likely arise in 2015, how best to deal with them, and what lasting effects they might leave for the next American administration and its allies around the world. PART 1: WHAT ROLEWILL DETERRENCE PLAY IN AMERICA'S NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY? The Case for Deterrence Kathleen H. Hicks Rebuilding Credibility: Regional Perspectives A conversation with Jon B. Alterman, Heather A. Conley, and Michael J. Green Moderated by Stephanie Sanok Kostro Why Deterrence Failed to Prevent Syrian Use of WMD Sharon Squassoni A Nuclear Deterrent for the 21st Century Clark A. Murdock Deterrence in the Cyber Age James A. Lewis The Role of Conventional Forces in Deterrence Maren Leed The Challenge of Deterring ISIS Thomas M. Sanderson PART 2: WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS OF PUTIN'S NEW RUSSIA? Russia’s Influence on Europe Heather A. Conley Putin’s Dilemma Andrew C. Kuchins The Calculations of Russia's Neighbors Jeffrey Mankoff Ukraine's Transition Sarah Mendelson A Test of Wills on Sanctions Juna C. Zarate Energy Codependency Edward C. Chow NATO’s Eastern Front Andrew A. Michta PART 3: HOW CAN THE UNITED STATES BEST EXERT INFLUENCE IN TODAY'S MIDDLE EAST? Acting and Reacting in the Middle East Jon B. Alterman The Need for Better Civil-Military Planning Anthony H. Cordesman The Challenge of Non-state Actors Haim Malka Counterterrorism Success and Failings Samuel J. Brannen PART 4: IS THE REBALANCE TO ASIA SUSTAINABLE? Asian Perceptions of the Rebalance Michael J. Green and Zack Cooper Keeping Focus on Korea Victor Cha Economic Imperative in Southeast Asia Ernest Z. Bower The Long View on India Richard M. Rossow Maintaining the U.S.-Japan Alliance Nicholas Szechenyi Recalibrating on China Christopher K. Johnson PART 5: IS A COMPETING ECONOMIC ORDER EMERGING? The Evolving Institutional Landscape Matther P. Goodman Strengthening the Existing Order Amy Studdart The Evolution of the Global Trading System Scott Miller Geopolitical Instability and Energy Markets Sarah Ladislaw Divergent Perspectives of the Democratic BRICS A conversation with Carl Meacham, Jennifer G. Cooke, and Richard M. Rossow Moderated by Amy Studdart PART 6: WILL EBOLA EVOLVE FROM A HEALTH CRISIS TO AN ECONOMIC AND GOVERNANCE CRISIS? The Trajectory of Ebola and our Response J. Stephen Morrison The Economic Impact of the Ebola Outbreak Daniel F. Runde and Conor M. Savoy |
| URL | https://www.csis.org/analysis/2015-global-forecast |
| 来源智库 | Center for Strategic and International Studies (United States) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/327120 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Craig Cohen,Josiane Gabel,J. Stephen Morrison. 2015 Global Forecast. 2014. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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