全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): The Evolution of the Salafi-Jihadist Threat

G2TT

来源类型	Report
规范类型	报告
	The Evolution of the Salafi-Jihadist Threat
	Seth G. Jones; Danika Newlee; Nicholas Harrington
发表日期	2018-11-20
出版年	2018
语种	英语
概述	Despite the Islamic State’s loss of territory$our report estimates that as of 2018$there were still between 20,000-30,000 Islamic State fighters in Iraq and Syria.
摘要	Download the Report Despite nearly two decades of U.S.-led counterterrorism operations, there are nearly four times as many Sunni Islamic militants today as there were on September 11, 2001. Based on a CSIS data set of groups, fighters, and violence, the regions with the largest number of fighters are Syria (between 43,650 and 70,550 fighters), Afghanistan (between 27,000 and 64,060), Pakistan (between 17,900 and 39,540), Iraq (between 10,000 and 15,000), Nigeria (between 3,450 and 6,900), and Somalia (between 3,095 and 7,240). Attack data indicates that there are still high levels of violence in Syria and Iraq from Salafi-jihadist groups, along with significant violence in such countries and regions as Yemen, the Sahel, Nigeria, Afghanistan, and Somalia. These findings suggest that there is still a large pool of Salafi-jihadist and allied fighters willing and able to use violence to achieve their goals. Every U.S. president since 9/11 has tried to move away from counterterrorism in some capacity, and it is no different today. Balancing national security priorities in today’s world needs to happen gradually. For the United States, the challenge is not that U.S. officials are devoting attention and resources to dealing with state adversaries like Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea. These countries present legitimate threats to the United States at home and abroad. Rather, the mistake would be declaring victory over terrorism too quickly and, as a result, shifting too many resources and too much attention away from terrorist groups when the threat remains significant. Seth Jones holds the Harold Brown Chair, is director of the Transnational Threats Project, and is a senior adviser to the International Security Program at CSIS. Charles Vallee was a research assistant and program coordinator with the Transnational Threats Project at CSIS. Danika Newlee is a program manager and research associate for the Transnational Threats Project at CSIS. Nicholas Harrington is a research assistant and program coordinator with the Transnational Threats Project at CSIS. Clayton Sharb is an intern with the Transnational Threats Project at CSIS. Hannah Byrne was an intern with the Transnational Threats Project at CSIS. This report is made possible by general support to CSIS. No direct sponsorship contributed to this report.
URL	https://www.csis.org/analysis/evolution-salafi-jihadist-threat
来源智库	Center for Strategic and International Studies (United States)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/327982
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Seth G. Jones,Danika Newlee,Nicholas Harrington. The Evolution of the Salafi-Jihadist Threat. 2018.