Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Report |
规范类型 | 报告 |
Beating the Air into Submission: Investing in Vertical Lift Modernization (Part II) | |
Gabriel Coll; Andrew Philip Hunter | |
发表日期 | 2019-05-10 |
出版年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
概述 | Future Vertical Lift is an effort to deliver generational change to a fleet of aging helicopters. Until recently$however$investments have been limited relative to overall vertical lift spending. This follow-up CSIS brief looks at how this may change over the next decade. |
摘要 | The Issue In our last paper, we discussed the current state of the U.S. vertical lift fleet and how past investment decisions helped shape this fleet. This brief will focus on future investments. Vertical lift aircraft are a substantial part of the U.S. military, both in terms of fleet size and investment levels. Helicopters and tiltrotors make up nearly half of the military’s combat aircraft fleet, and with more than $8 billion being spent on buying and developing these aircraft each year, they draw a substantial share of the defense budget. However, despite major investments, the vertical lift fleet has not undergone generational change since the 1980s. This is especially true within the Army, which has the largest vertical lift fleet. With a new joint effort called Future Vertical Lift (FVL), the Department of Defense (DoD) plans to deliver the next generational leap in capability. This brief (along with a forthcoming third brief ) covers the prospects for vertical lift modernization in the coming decades (using the FY19 Future Years Defense Program (FYDP) as a baseline): the timing and pace of FVL, potential upgrades to the current fleet, and long-term options for FVL. Future Vertical Lift Industry Competition Source: Drezner, Roshan, and Whitemore, Enhancing Management of the Joint Future Vertical Lift Initiative. Note: This table is an abbreviated version of one from RAND’s 2017 report, “Enhancing Management of the Joint Future Vertical Lift Initiative.” This offers the best publicly available breakdown of the various capability sets and the comprehensive nature of FVL, but it is not a formal set of FVL requirements. Actual service specifications have and will change from the ranges described in this table. DOD Funding Note: The shaded region, 2009-2018, reflects money that has already been spent or enacted (2018). The clear region, 2019-2023, reflects projected spending based on the president’s budget request for FY2019. Source: CSIS analysis; Future Years Defense Program. Vertical Lift Modernization in the Future Years Defense Program (2019-2023)4 FISCAL YEAR 2019 FYDP PROJECTIONS According to DoD projections from the fiscal year 2019 FYDP, the United States planned to spend $47 billion on vertical lift (procurement and RDT&E) over the next five years (2019-2023). This would mean a 4.1 percent decline in spending from the past five years (2014-2018), which includes several budget years when overall defense spending was declining. Moreover, fiscal year 2019 FYDP Army projections indicated that its proportion of procurement and RDT&E vertical lifting spending would actually drop in comparison to the other services: 1) Navy: $23.7 billion (50.8 percent); 2) Army $15.5 billion (33.1 percent); and 3) Air Force: $7.5 billion (16.1 percent). Note: Like before, the shaded region, 2009-2018, reflects money that has already been spent or enacted (2018). The clear region, 2019-2023, reflects projected spending based on the president’s budget request for FY2019. Source: CSIS analysis; Future Years Defense Program. Chart 3: Top Procurement Spending Categories, 2019-2023 (over $250 million) Note: Procurement and RDT&E categories include: Osprey, Black Hawk, Apache, Sea Hawk, Chinook, Cobra/Viper, Sea Stallion/King Stallion, Aviation - General, Marine One (Superhawk), Light Utility Helicopter, Combat Rescue Helicopter, Huey/Iroquois, Kiowa (Warrior), Engines, Huey/Iroquois Replacement, Pave Hawk, Sea Knight, Common Vertical Lift Support Plat- form (CVLSP), and (U)MH-XX. Chart 4: Top Research, Development, Test, & Evaluation Spending (RDT&E) Categories, 2019-2023 (over $250 million) Note: Like before, Procurement and RDT&E categories include: Osprey, Black Hawk, Apache, Sea Hawk, Chinook, Cobra/Viper, Sea Stallion/King Stallion, Aviation - General, Marine One (Superhawk), Light Utility Helicopter, Combat Rescue Helicopter, Huey/Iroquois, Kiowa (Warrior), Engines, Huey/Iroquois Replacement, Pave Hawk, Sea Knight, Common Vertical Lift Support Plat- form (CVLSP), and (U)MH-XX. FISCAL YEAR 2020 FYDP PROJECTIONS Gabriel Coll is a program manager and research associate with the Defense-Industrial Initiatives Group (DIIG) at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington, D.C. Andrew Hunter is a senior fellow in the International Security Program and director of DIIG at CSIS. This brief is made possible by the generous support from Bell. CSIS Briefs are produced by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a private, tax-exempt institution focusing on international public policy issues. Its research is nonpartisan and nonproprietary. CSIS does not take specific policy positions. Accordingly, all views, positions, and conclusions expressed in this publication should be understood to be solely those of the author(s). © 2019 by the Center for Strategic and International Studies. All rights reserved. Jeffrey A. Drezner, Parisa Roshan, and Thomas Whitemore, Enhancing Management of the Joint Future Vertical Lift Initiative (Santa Monica, California: RAND, 2017), https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/ research_reports/RR2000/RR2010/RAND_RR2010.pdf. Sydney J. Freedberg Jr., “Bell V-280 Vs. Sikorsy-Boeing SB>1: Who Will Win Future Vertical Lift?” Breaking Defense, October 2, 2017, https:// breakingdefense.com/2017/10/bell-v-280-vs-sikorsky-boeing-sb1-who-will- win-future-vertical-lift/. OSD, “Army Justification Book for FY2017,” Department of Defense, Feb- ruary 2016, https://vtol.org/files/dmfile/FY17PBExhibit-R-2_FVL-M2.pdf. Ibid. |
URL | https://www.csis.org/analysis/beating-air-submission-investing-vertical-lift-modernization-part-ii-0 |
来源智库 | Center for Strategic and International Studies (United States) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/328091 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gabriel Coll,Andrew Philip Hunter. Beating the Air into Submission: Investing in Vertical Lift Modernization (Part II). 2019. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
190510_Coll_Vertical(1765KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。