| 来源类型 | Research Reports
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| 规范类型 | 报告
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| Global risks 2035: the search for a new normal |
| Mathew J. Burrows
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| 发表日期 | 2016-09-22
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| 出版年 | 2016
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 概述 | What will the world be like in 2035? The forecast seems dire. In the four years since Global Trends 2030 was published, the biggest change in the world is the increased risk of major conflict. |
| 摘要 | What will the world be like in 2035? The forecast seems dire. In the four years since Global Trends 2030 was published, the biggest change in the world is the increased risk of major conflict. In 2012, a large-scale US/NATO conflict with Russia or China was close to unthinkable. Now, the post-Cold War security order has broken down, and the consequences are immense, potentially threatening globalization.$The report projects that, given the broader geopolitical and technological trends, in the best case, the world is looking at multipolarity with limited multilateralism. There would still exist some cooperation where there was strong interest among the great powers. However, fragmentation could easily slide into open conflict. In that worst case, the multipolarity would evolve into another bipolarity—with China, Russia, and their partners pitted against the United States, Europe, Japan, and other allies. In that scenario, conflict would be almost inevitable.$Authored by Dr. Mathew J. Burrows, director of the Strategic Foresight Initiative at the Atlantic Council’s Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security and the principal drafter the highly influential National Intelligence Council publication Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds, the report emphasizes that world leaders and policymakers must understand global risks and take imminent actions to make sure that the world of 2035 is a safe and prosperous one. |
| 主题 | China
; NATO
; Security & Defense
; United States and Canada
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| URL | https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/report/global-risks-2035/
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| 来源智库 | Atlantic Council (United States)
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/345516
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Mathew J. Burrows. Global risks 2035: the search for a new normal. 2016.
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文件名：
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Global_Risks_2035_web_0922.pdf
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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