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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 工作论文 |
Tight Oil Market Dynamics: Benchmarks, Breakeven Points, and Inelasticities | |
Dr. Tim Boersma | |
发表日期 | 2017-11-29 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Senior Research Scholar Tim Boersma and other write in Elsevier Energy Economics on tight oil market dynamics. |
正文 | When comparing oil and gas projects - their relative attractiveness, robustness, and contribution to markets - various dollar per barrel benchmarks are quoted in the literature and in public debates. Among these benchmarks are a variety of breakeven points (also called breakeven costs or breakeven prices), widely used to predict producer responses to market conditions. These analyses have not proved reliable because (1) there has been no broadly accepted agreement on the definitions of breakeven points, (2) there are various breakeven points (and other benchmarks) each of which is applicable only at a certain stage of the development of a resource, and (3) each breakeven point is considerably more dynamic than many observers anticipated, changing over time in response to internal and external drivers. In this paper we propose standardized definitions of each breakeven point, showing which elements of field and well development are included in each. We clarify the purpose of each breakeven point and specify at which stage of the development cycle the use of each becomes appropriate. We discuss in general terms the geological, geographical, product quality, and exchange rate factors that affect breakeven points. We describe other factors that contribute to tight oil market dynamics, including factors that accelerate the growth and retard the decline of production; technological and legal influences on the behavior of market participants; and infrastructure, labor, and financial inelasticities. The role of tight oil in short-term and medium-term oil market stability is discussed. Finally, we explore the implications of a broader, more rigorous, and more consistent application of the breakeven point concept, taking into account the inelasticities that accompany it. |
主题 | Energy Markets ; Oil |
URL | https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/research/article/tight-oil-market-dynamics-benchmarks-breakeven-points-and-inelasticities |
来源智库 | Center on Global Energy Policy (United States) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/395053 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dr. Tim Boersma. Tight Oil Market Dynamics: Benchmarks, Breakeven Points, and Inelasticities. 2017. |
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