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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
When ENSO Reigns, It Pours: Climate Forecasts in Flood Planning | |
Kris F. Wernstedt; Robert Hersh | |
发表日期 | 2001-11-01 |
出版年 | 2001 |
页码 | DP 01-56 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Recent scientific and technical advances have increased the potential use of longterm seasonal climate forecasts for improving water resource management. This paper examines the role that forecasts, in particular those based on the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, can play in flood planning in the Pacific Northwest. While strong evidence of an association between ENSO signals and flooding in the region exists, this association is open to more than one interpretation depending on: a) the metric used to test the strength of the association; b) the definition of critical flood events; c) site-specific features of watersheds; and d) the characteristics of flood management institutions. A better understanding and appreciation of such ambiguities, both institutional and statistical, is needed to facilitate the use of climate forecast information for flood planning and response. |
主题 | Water ; Climate Change ; Environmental Economics Topics |
URL | http://www.rff.org/research/publications/when-enso-reigns-it-pours-climate-forecasts-flood-planning |
来源智库 | Resources for the Future (United States) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/40644 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kris F. Wernstedt,Robert Hersh. When ENSO Reigns, It Pours: Climate Forecasts in Flood Planning. 2001. |
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