G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型论文
When ENSO Reigns, It Pours: Climate Forecasts in Flood Planning
Kris F. Wernstedt; Robert Hersh
发表日期2001-11-01
出版年2001
页码DP 01-56
语种英语
摘要

Recent scientific and technical advances have increased the potential use of longterm seasonal climate forecasts for improving water resource management. This paper examines the role that forecasts, in particular those based on the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, can play in flood planning in the Pacific Northwest. While strong evidence of an association between ENSO signals and flooding in the region exists, this association is open to more than one interpretation depending on: a) the metric used to test the strength of the association; b) the definition of critical flood events; c) site-specific features of watersheds; and d) the characteristics of flood management institutions. A better understanding and appreciation of such ambiguities, both institutional and statistical, is needed to facilitate the use of climate forecast information for flood planning and response.

主题Water ; Climate Change ; Environmental Economics Topics
URLhttp://www.rff.org/research/publications/when-enso-reigns-it-pours-climate-forecasts-flood-planning
来源智库Resources for the Future (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/40644
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Kris F. Wernstedt,Robert Hersh. When ENSO Reigns, It Pours: Climate Forecasts in Flood Planning. 2001.
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