G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型论文
Wealth and Time Preference in Rural Ethiopia
Mahmud Yesuf; Randy Bluffstone
发表日期2008-06-15
出版年2008
页码EfD DP 08-16
语种英语
摘要

This study measured the discount rates of a sample of 262 farm households in the Ethiopian highlands, using a time preference experiment with real payoffs. In general, the median discount ratewas very high—more than double the interest rate on the outstanding debt—and varied systematically with wealth and risk aversion. Although we do not have a good theory for explaining the linkagebetween rates-of-time preferences (RTPs) and risk aversion, our findings warn that these two aspects of household behavior reinforce each other and are easily confused. Our results have importantimplications for understanding households’ behavior. Because the RTPs were so high, what might seem like profitable investments from the outside might not seem so from the farmers’ perspectives.Furthermore, when future returns were uncertain, risk-averse decision makers favored projects with shorter payback periods and were less willing to invest in projects with long-term benefits. Formal capital market development, including lending and mortgage markets—currently non-existent in most of rural Ethiopia—may help reduce RTPs and cause more investments to be acceptable. The results also suggested the need for more research on the linkages between risk aversion and RTPs in low-income countries.

主题Environmental Economics Topics
子主题Africa ; Discounting ; Risk Analysis
URLhttp://www.rff.org/research/publications/wealth-and-time-preference-rural-ethiopia
来源智库Resources for the Future (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/40932
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Mahmud Yesuf,Randy Bluffstone. Wealth and Time Preference in Rural Ethiopia. 2008.
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