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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
Wealth and Time Preference in Rural Ethiopia | |
Mahmud Yesuf; Randy Bluffstone | |
发表日期 | 2008-06-15 |
出版年 | 2008 |
页码 | EfD DP 08-16 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This study measured the discount rates of a sample of 262 farm households in the Ethiopian highlands, using a time preference experiment with real payoffs. In general, the median discount ratewas very high—more than double the interest rate on the outstanding debt—and varied systematically with wealth and risk aversion. Although we do not have a good theory for explaining the linkagebetween rates-of-time preferences (RTPs) and risk aversion, our findings warn that these two aspects of household behavior reinforce each other and are easily confused. Our results have importantimplications for understanding households’ behavior. Because the RTPs were so high, what might seem like profitable investments from the outside might not seem so from the farmers’ perspectives.Furthermore, when future returns were uncertain, risk-averse decision makers favored projects with shorter payback periods and were less willing to invest in projects with long-term benefits. Formal capital market development, including lending and mortgage markets—currently non-existent in most of rural Ethiopia—may help reduce RTPs and cause more investments to be acceptable. The results also suggested the need for more research on the linkages between risk aversion and RTPs in low-income countries. |
主题 | Environmental Economics Topics |
子主题 | Africa ; Discounting ; Risk Analysis |
URL | http://www.rff.org/research/publications/wealth-and-time-preference-rural-ethiopia |
来源智库 | Resources for the Future (United States) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/40932 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mahmud Yesuf,Randy Bluffstone. Wealth and Time Preference in Rural Ethiopia. 2008. |
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