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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
Direct and Indirect Effects of Extreme Weather Events and Potential Estimation Biases | |
Juan Robalino; Catalina Sandoval; Alejandro Abarca | |
发表日期 | 2015-11-28 |
出版年 | 2015 |
页码 | EfD DP 15-29 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The literature analyzing the effects of extreme weather events on social and economic outcomes has increased significantly in the last few years. Most of these analyses use either self-reported data about whether the storm affected the respondent or aggregated data such as precipitation at municipality level. We argue that these estimates might be biased due to the inclusion of households that are not directly affected but live close enough to be indirectly affected through economic or government assistance spillovers. Using data for Guatemala, we estimate separately the direct and indirect effects of Tropical Storm Stan on subjective economic well-being. We find that households that were directly affected by Stan are significantly more likely to report being poorer after the storm. We also find that the direct effects of the storm are similar in poor and less-poor agricultural municipalities. However, in non-agricultural municipalities, the effects are larger in less-poor municipalities. Reducing poverty rates might not be enough to address the problems related to climate shocks, which are expected to increase with climate change. We also find that households indirectly affected in non-poor municipalities reported being significantly worse off and households indirectly affected in poor municipalities reported being significantly better off. Given that shocks and responses to shocks will likely affect households that were not directly exposed, estimates of these effects are difficult to measure without simultaneously considering exposure data at both the household level and municipality level.
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主题 | Climate Change ; Development and Environment ; International |
子主题 | Latin America ; Natural Disasters and Extreme Events |
URL | http://www.rff.org/research/publications/direct-and-indirect-effects-extreme-weather-events-and-potential-estimation |
来源智库 | Resources for the Future (United States) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/41414 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Juan Robalino,Catalina Sandoval,Alejandro Abarca. Direct and Indirect Effects of Extreme Weather Events and Potential Estimation Biases. 2015. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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