G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型论文
Temperature and Industrial Output: Micro-level Evidence from China
Xiaoguang Chen; Lu Yang
发表日期2016-05-06
出版年2016
页码EfD DP 16-15
语种英语
摘要

We pair a county-level panel of annual industrial output with a fine-scale daily weather dataset to estimate the responses of industrial output to temperature changes in China. We have three primary findings. First, industrial output is nonlinear in temperature changes. With seasonal average temperatures as temperature variables, industrial output increases by 0.7–1.0% for each 1°C increase in average spring temperature, and falls by 1.3–2.3% for each 1°C increase in average summer temperature. With temperature bins as temperature variables, industrial output increases linearly with temperature up to 24–27°C, and then declines sharply at higher temperatures. Second, increased summer temperature substantially reduces industrial output in low-temperature regions, while the effect of elevated summer temperature on industrial output is insignificant in high-temperature regions. Third, total industrial output in China could decrease by as much as 8.5% by 2080.

主题International
子主题China
URLhttp://www.rff.org/research/publications/temperature-and-industrial-output-micro-level-evidence-china
来源智库Resources for the Future (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/41441
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Xiaoguang Chen,Lu Yang. Temperature and Industrial Output: Micro-level Evidence from China. 2016.
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