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来源类型 | Publications - Reports - Proliferation Papers |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 978-2-36567-068-5 |
Deterring the Weak: Problems and Prospects Proliferation Papers, No. 43, Fall 2012 | |
James J. WIRTZ | |
发表日期 | 2012-10-08 |
出版年 | 2012 |
概述 | Strong states often fail to deter vastly weaker competitors. This paper explores some reasons of this failure and identifies factors that can increase the prospects that deterrence will succeed in these situations. |
摘要 |
Deterring the Weak: Problems and Prospects Proliferation Papers, No. 43, Fall 2012
Strong states often fail to deter vastly weaker competitors. This paper explores some reasons of this failure and identifies factors that can increase the prospects that deterrence will succeed in these situations. ![]() It argues that deterrence fails between strong and weak powers not because the weaker party miscalculates the military balance or fails to perceive the existence of deterrent threats, but because of a perception that it is possible to circumvent deterrence. This perception is often rooted in strategic, political and social factors that the leaders of weak states believe they can manipulate to their advantage, hoping to prevent the strong from bringing their superior military capability to bear in an effective way. To illustrate these points, the paper describes some of these strategic, political and social factors that lead to optimism on the part of the weak, and identifies several considerations that should govern the behavior of stronger powers as they contemplate efforts to deter weaker competitors.
Deterring the Weak: Problems and Prospects
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关键词 | Balance of power deterrence Military balance war |
URL | https://www.ifri.org/en/publications/enotes/proliferation-papers/deterring-weak-problems-and-prospects |
来源智库 | French Institute of International Relations (France) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/415672 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | James J. WIRTZ. Deterring the Weak: Problems and Prospects Proliferation Papers, No. 43, Fall 2012. 2012. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
coverpp43.jpg(5KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | ![]() 浏览 | ||
pp43wirtz.pdf(161KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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