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To implement the “grand strategy”, Moscow’s strongest card is the energy weapon. However, the fall in oil prices and the conflict in Ukraine have brought things sharply into perspective. The traditional military dimension of the army is currently resigned to waging “limited wars” in localized areas. In addition, there remains Russia’s desire to establish itself as a “moral” power, challenging the West’s dominance. Moscow is playing its cards, but it holds a weak hand.

Article published in Politique étrangère, vol. 80, n° 2, Summer 2015.