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来源类型 | Publications - Reports - Proliferation Papers |
规范类型 | 报告 |
North Korea's Nuclear Posture: an Evolving Challenge for U.S. Deterrence Proliferation Papers, No. 58, March 2017 | |
John K. WARDEN | |
发表日期 | 2017-03-27 |
出版年 | 2017 |
概述 | A more capable, nuclear-armed, North Korea will pose very substantial challenges to the U.S. deterrence posture. |
摘要 |
North Korea's Nuclear Posture: an Evolving Challenge for U.S. Deterrence Proliferation Papers, No. 58, March 2017
A more capable, nuclear-armed, North Korea will pose very substantial challenges to the U.S. deterrence posture. ![]() While North Korea’s nuclear program already serves multiple functions in its security strategy, it is likely to acquire an even greater role over the coming years. Once the regime deploys more advanced nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, it might be tempted to pursue a revisionist agenda focusing either on the reunification of the Korean peninsula or on more limited aims. In support of such ambitions, Pyongyang may develop a theory of victory relying on the threat of nuclear escalation to deter enemies from pursuing regime change and to compel them to accede to its demands. As North Korea’s capabilities mature, the United States, South Korea, and Japan will need to articulate a comprehensive approach to deterring Pyongyang while managing their differences to respond to North Korea’s behavior during peacetime, crisis, and conflict. To deter Pyongyang, coordination is key, hence the need for the United States and its allies to adopt a layered deterrence strategy and determine courses of action that, if pursued vigorously and carefully, would increase their chances of containing a nuclear-armed North Korea and avoiding nuclear war.
North Korea's Nuclear Posture: An Evolving Challenge for U.S. Deterrence
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关键词 | Alliances Crisis Management Defense Escalation Extended Deterrence nuclear weapons North Korea United States |
URL | https://www.ifri.org/en/publications/etudes-de-lifri/proliferation-papers/north-koreas-nuclear-posture-evolving-challenge-us |
来源智库 | French Institute of International Relations (France) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/416276 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | John K. WARDEN. North Korea's Nuclear Posture: an Evolving Challenge for U.S. Deterrence Proliferation Papers, No. 58, March 2017. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
couv_prolif58.jpg(25KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | ![]() 浏览 | ||
warden_north_korea_n(812KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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