Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 工作论文 |
Obama's Trip to Asia: Ask the Expert | |
Douglas H. Paal; Michael Pettis; Taiya Smith; Michael D. Swaine | |
发表日期 | 2009-11-05 |
出版年 | 2009 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | President Obama will travel to Japan, Singapore, China, and South Korea starting on October 11. Carnegie experts will answer your questions about the possible implications and outcomes of the trip for the U.S. strategic and economic relationship with the region. |
正文 | Andy (Taipei): Do you think the U.S. should use India to counter China's influence in Asia? If so, do you think it is reasonable or legitimate for China develop its own counter-measure to such an alliance? Swaine: U.S. policies toward India are not simply directed at counter-balancing China, and would likely fail in any event, given the larger strategic dynamics of all the players. The Obama administration is currently engaged in efforts to deepen cooperation with China in many areas, and to downplay or deflect sources of contention. It is not opposed to China's "growing influence" in Asia, unless such influence were to become hostile to U.S. interests. India will not in any event become drawn into a game of strategic balancing against China vis-à-vis an alliance with the U.S. It has its own reasons to improve relations with both Washington and Beijing. And of course Beijing and New Delhi are also pursuing improved relations, despite recent tiffs over the Dalai Lama and territorial issues. Thus, all players are seeking to improve their relations with one another while avoiding any confrontational security alliances of a zero-sum sort. This all makes eminent sense, so I do not expect that Washington will "use" relations with India to counter China's influence in Asia, and I therefore do not expect that the Chinese will pursue some sort of counter-measure. Paal: Some armchair strategists in Washington think India can be used to counterbalance China. Maybe a few Indians do as well. But I believe all these countries, in the post Cold War era, are seeking to hedge relationships with a policy of improving relations with all. India will not ally with the US against China, nor will the U.S. seek India's support to act against China. Nevertheless, it would make no sense for the U.S. to ignore the opportunity to stabilize and improve relations with India, given the rise of the opportunity after fifty years of its studious non-alignment and leaning toward the Soviet Union.
Kristin (Washington, D.C.): Increasing consumption in China will require changing the current growth model. China has indicated it will boost its services sector, which is now a small part of its GDP. Do you believe that one reason the services sector hasn’t grown is due to the currency policy, which favors manufacturing? If so, why do you think services companies don't add their voice to this debate?
Alex (Chicago): You mentioned China's social safety net and its potential impact on consumption. Both the U.S. and China are currently reforming their healthcare systems. What, if anything, can the U.S. can learn from China's healthcare reforms? Paal: It's not realistic to compare the Chinese and American health systems. China's former system was rudimentary but inexpensive and available to all, but that has now collapsed in the market era and today is spotty but much more high-quality than before for those with privileges or who can afford high cost care. The government intends to broaden health care coverage and establish an insurance system, but it has a vast distance to cover. China especially needs to increase its supply of doctors, caregivers and hospitals. This will require a big investment in schools and facilities.
Evan (CSIS Jakarta): In his big trip to Asia, is it wise for Obama to cancel his stop in Indonesia? Why do you think he canceled? Was it really an issue of technicality, or would his cancellation be seen as a snub?
Inna (Voice of America): Is U.S. influence at risk in Asia? What role does Russia play in the U.S. regional agenda?
Richard (St. Louis): Do you see the possibility of the U.S. brokering or helping to bring China and India together in joint naval operations to increase security in the greater South China Sea - Indian Ocean, especially in relation to the increased amount of piracy and other criminal/terrorist activities? |
主题 | East Asia ; South Korea ; China ; Japan ; North Korea ; Defense and Security ; Military ; Economy ; Emerging Economies ; Economic Instability ; Global Trade ; Climate and Energy ; Energy Policy ; Foreign Policy |
URL | https://carnegieendowment.org/2009/11/05/obama-s-trip-to-asia-ask-expert-pub-24094 |
来源智库 | Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (United States) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/416999 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Douglas H. Paal,Michael Pettis,Taiya Smith,et al. Obama's Trip to Asia: Ask the Expert. 2009. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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