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来源类型 | Policy Outlook |
规范类型 | 简报 |
China’s Economic Rise—Fact and Fiction | |
Albert Keidel | |
发表日期 | 2008-07-08 |
出版年 | 2008 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | ![]() |
正文 | China’s economy will surpass that of the United States by 2035 and be twice its size by midcentury, a new report by Albert Keidel concludes. China’s rapid growth is driven by domestic demand—not exports—and will sustain high single-digit growth rates well into this century. In China’s Economic Rise—Fact and Fiction, Keidel examines China’s likely economic trajectory and its implications for global commercial, institutional, and military leadership. Key Conclusions: “China’s economic performance clearly is no flash in the pan. Its growth this decade has averaged more than 10 percent a year and is still going strong in the first half of 2008. Because its success in recent decades has not been export-led but driven by domestic demand, its rapid growth can continue well into the twenty-first century, unfettered by world market limitation. China’s likely continued success will eventually bring an end to America’s global economic preeminence, requiring strategic reassessment by all major economies—especially the United States, the European Union, Japan, and even China itself.” |
主题 | China ; Economy ; Emerging Economies ; Foreign Policy |
URL | https://carnegieendowment.org/2008/07/08/china-s-economic-rise-fact-and-fiction-pub-20279 |
来源智库 | Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (United States) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/418093 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Albert Keidel. China’s Economic Rise—Fact and Fiction. 2008. |
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