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来源类型 | External Publication |
规范类型 | 其他 |
Can emerging markets be a source of global troubles again? | |
Marek Dabrowski | |
发表日期 | 2019-05-09 |
出版年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
概述 | According to popular perception, emerging-market economies have not experienced serious macroeconomic and financial turbulence since the beginning of this century. This perception was not entirely correct because it disregarded spill-over effects of the global financial crises of 2008–2009, the consequences of the decline of oil and other commodity prices in 2014–2016, economic and financial troubles caused by violent conflicts and regional political instability. |
摘要 | This publication was also published in the Russian Journal of Economics 5(1) (2019) After two turbulent decades (1980s and 1990s) when emerging-market economies were frequent victims of financial crises, in the first two decades of the 21st century their macroeconomic performance improved. Nevertheless, there were three crisis episodes that hit some of these countries: (i) the spill-over effects of the global financial crisis in 2008–2009; (ii) the consequences of the decline in commodity prices in 2014–2016 for their exporters; (iii) the turbulence in Argentina and Turkey in 2018. Currency crises in Argentina and Turkey in 2018 underlined again the key role of prudent domestic policies. Early policy correction can help to prevent a crisis and avoid its economic, social and political costs. If crisis cannot be avoided, the comprehensive anti-crisis package, including up-front monetary and fiscal adjustment, should be adopted as quickly as possible to arrest market panic and reverse negative expectations. |
主题 | Global Economics & Governance |
关键词 | Argentina emerging economies Turkey |
URL | https://bruegel.org/2019/05/can-emerging-markets-be-a-source-of-global-troubles-again/ |
来源智库 | Bruegel (Belgium) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/429824 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Marek Dabrowski. Can emerging markets be a source of global troubles again?. 2019. |
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