G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型工作论文
来源IDWorking Paper11-10
The Liquidation of Government Debt
Carmen M. Reinhart (Harvard University); M. Belen Sbrancia ( University of Maryland)
发表日期2011-04-01
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要

Historically, periods of high indebtedness have been associated with a rising incidence of default or restructuring of public and private debts. A subtle type of debt restructuring takes the form of "financial repression." Financial repression includes directed lending to government by captive domestic audiences (such as pension funds), explicit or implicit caps on interest rates, regulation of cross-border capital movements, and (generally) a tighter connection between government and banks. In this paper, the authors describe some of the regulatory measures and policy actions that characterized the heyday of the financial repression era.

In the heavily regulated financial markets of the Bretton Woods system, several restrictions facilitated a sharp and rapid reduction in public debt/GDP ratios from the late 1940s to the 1970s. Low nominal interest rates help reduce debt servicing costs while a high incidence of negative real interest rates liquidates or erodes the real value of government debt. Thus, financial repression is most successful in liquidating debts when accompanied by a steady dose of inflation. Inflation need not take market participants entirely by surprise and, in effect, it need not be very high (by historical standards). For the advanced economies in Reinhart and Sbrancia's sample, real interest rates were negative roughly half of the time during 1945-80. For the United States and the United Kingdom, their estimates of the annual liquidation of debt via negative real interest rates amounted on average to 3 to 4 percent of GDP a year. For Australia and Italy, which recorded higher inflation rates, the liquidation effect was larger (around 5 percent per annum).

主题Fiscal Deficit ; Banking ; Regulations ; Government
URLhttps://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/liquidation-government-debt
来源智库Peterson Institute for International Economics (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/454057
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Carmen M. Reinhart ,M. Belen Sbrancia . The Liquidation of Government Debt. 2011.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 资源类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
wp11-10.pdf(574KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Carmen M. Reinhart (Harvard University)]的文章
[M. Belen Sbrancia ( University of Maryland)]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Carmen M. Reinhart (Harvard University)]的文章
[M. Belen Sbrancia ( University of Maryland)]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Carmen M. Reinhart (Harvard University)]的文章
[M. Belen Sbrancia ( University of Maryland)]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
文件名: wp11-10.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF
此文件暂不支持浏览

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。