G2TT
来源类型Policy Brief
规范类型简报
来源IDPolicy Brief12-23
Updated Estimates of Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rates
John Williamson; William R. Cline
发表日期2012-11-01
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要

In this semiannual update of their estimates of fundamental equilibrium exchange rates (FEERs), William R. Cline and John Williamson again find that the overvaluation of the dollar and undervaluation of the Chinese renminbi have become much more modest than in previous years, as their current account imbalances have narrowed. Seriously undervalued currencies now include those of Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Malaysia, as well as the Swiss franc and Swedish krona. Serious overvaluation persists for Turkey, New Zealand, Australia, and (though less so than before) South Africa. The authors welcome the new External Sector Report of the International Monetary Fund, which generally finds the same directions of misalignment across currencies, with the notable exception of Switzerland. However, they criticize the Fund's methodology for conflating positive (observed pattern) and normative (systemically salutary) behavior, in particular by awarding high acceptable current account surplus targets, particularly to Singapore and Switzerland, because of financial center status and past accumulation of massive external assets.

主题Capital Markets ; Currency
URLhttps://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/updated-estimates-fundamental-equilibrium-exchange-rates
来源智库Peterson Institute for International Economics (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/454784
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
John Williamson,William R. Cline. Updated Estimates of Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rates. 2012.
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