G2TT
来源类型Policy Brief
规范类型简报
来源IDPolicy Brief18-7
Can a Country Save Too Much? The Case of Norway
Joseph E. Gagnon
发表日期2018-03-19
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要

Many countries have squandered their natural resource endowments. The International Monetary Fund and the World Bank routinely hector developing economies to save and invest more of their revenues from resources such as oil and gold for the benefit of future generations after the resources run out. But, can a country save too much of its resource revenues? Gagnon argues that since the first capital transfers to its Government Pension Fund Global in 1996, Norway has saved more than was needed to raise consumption of all generations equally. Norway’s excess saving imposes a cost on the rest of the world during periods of weak aggregate demand and ultralow interest rates. Gagnon proposes a counterfactual saving policy that would have increased Norway’s household consumption by nearly 9 percent on average from 1996 through 2017. The proposed policy would have reduced Norway’s current account surplus by more than one-third, or $13 billion per year on average, from 1996 through 2017. Even now, Norway could raise current consumption by more than US$2,000 per capita, while keeping the contribution of oil wealth to future generations equally large.

主题Energy ; Fiscal Policy ; Government ; Commodities
URLhttps://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/can-country-save-too-much-case-norway
来源智库Peterson Institute for International Economics (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/454930
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Joseph E. Gagnon. Can a Country Save Too Much? The Case of Norway. 2018.
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