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Business as unusual. An explanation of the increase of private economic activity in high-conflict areas in Afghanistan.
Ciarli, Tommaso; Kofol, Chiara; Menon, Carlo
发表日期2015
出版者SERC, LSE
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要In this paper we use a unique dataset that combines spatial detailed information on conflict events and on households' activity, to show a positive and significant correlation between violent conflict and entrepreneurship in Afghanistan. We build spatial and IV identifications to estimate the effect of different measures of conflict on the investment in a range of private economic activities of nearby households. The results consistently show that the level of conflict, its impact, and to a lesser extent its frequency, increase the probability that a household engages in self-employment activities with lower capital intensity and in activities related to subsistence agriculture, and reduce the probability of investing in higher capital self-employment. Overall, by increasing entrepreneurship, conflict pushes the country towards a regressive structural change. However, the magnitude of most of the effects is quite small. The paper contributes to a literature that, due to data constraints and identification issues, has not yet delivered conclusive evidence.
特色分类HD0072 Economic development. Development economics. Economic growth$JZ6385 The armed conflict. War and order
URLhttp://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/57169/
来源智库Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/466749
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Ciarli, Tommaso,Kofol, Chiara,Menon, Carlo. Business as unusual. An explanation of the increase of private economic activity in high-conflict areas in Afghanistan.. 2015.
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