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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2010.04.046
ISBN0301-4215
Global oil depletion: a review of the evidence.
Sorrell, Steve; Speirs, Jamie; Bentley, Roger; Brandt, Adam; Miller, Richard
发表日期2010-09-01
出处Energy Policy
出版者Elsevier
出版年2010
页码5290-5295
语种英语
摘要Within the polarised and contentious debate over future oil supply a growing number of commentators are forecasting a near term peak and subsequent decline in production. But although liquid fuels form the foundation of modern industrial economies, the growing debate on `peak oil has relatively little influence on energy and climate policy. With this in mind, the UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC) has conducted an independent, thorough and systematic review of the evidence, with the aim of establishing the current state of knowledge, identifying key uncertainties and improving consensus. The study focuses upon the physical depletion of conventional oil in the period to 2030 and includes an in-depth literature review, analysis of industry databases and a detailed comparison of global supply forecasts. This Communication summarises the main findings of the UKERC study. A key conclusion is that a peak of conventional oil production before 2030 appears likely and there is a significant risk of a peak before 2020.
URLhttp://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/29637/
来源智库Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/467748
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GB/T 7714
Sorrell, Steve,Speirs, Jamie,Bentley, Roger,et al. Global oil depletion: a review of the evidence.. 2010.
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