| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.energy.2014.07.070 |
| ISBN | 0360-5442 |
| Risk, innovation, electricity infrastructure and construction cost overruns: testing six hypotheses. | |
| Sovacool, Benjamin K; Gilbert, Alex; Nugent, Daniel | |
| 发表日期 | 2014-09-01 |
| 出处 | Energy |
| 出版者 | Elsevier |
| 出版年 | 2014 |
| 页码 | 906-917 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This study investigates the frequency and magnitude of cost and time overruns occurring during the construction of 401 electricity projects built between 1936 and 2014 in 57 countries. In aggregate, these projects required approximately $820 billion in investment, and amounted to 325,515 MW of installed capacity and 8495 km of transmission lines. We use this sample of projects to test six hypotheses about construction cost overruns related to (1) diseconomies of scale, (2) project delays, (3) technological learning, (4) regulation and markets, (5) decentralization and modularity, and (6) normalization of results to scale. We find that nuclear reactors are the riskiest technology in terms of mean cost escalation as a percentage of budget and frequency; that hydroelectric dams stand apart for their mean cost escalation in total dollars; that many of the hypotheses grounded in the literature appear wrong; and that financing, partnerships, modularity, and accountability may have more to do with overruns than technology. |
| URL | http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/58395/ |
| 来源智库 | Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/468384 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sovacool, Benjamin K,Gilbert, Alex,Nugent, Daniel. Risk, innovation, electricity infrastructure and construction cost overruns: testing six hypotheses.. 2014. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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