| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.05.082 |
| ISBN | 0306-2619 |
| Understanding China’s past and future energy demand: an exergy efficiency and decomposition analysis. | |
| Brockway, Paul E; Steinberger, Julia K; Barrett, John R; Foxon, Timothy J | |
| 发表日期 | 2015-10-01 |
| 出处 | Applied Energy |
| 出版者 | Elsevier |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 页码 | 892-903 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | There are very few useful work and exergy analysis studies for China, and fewer still that consider how the results inform drivers of past and future energy consumption. This is surprising: China is the world’s largest energy consumer, whilst exergy analysis provides a robust thermodynamic framework for analysing the technical efficiency of energy use. In response, we develop three novel sub-analyses. First we perform a long-term whole economy time-series exergy analysis for China (1971–2010). We find a 10-fold growth in China’s useful work since 1971, which is supplied by a 4-fold increase in primary energy coupled to a 2.5-fold gain in aggregate exergy conversion efficiency to useful work: from 5% to 12.5%. Second, using index decomposition we expose the key driver of efficiency growth as not ‘technological leapfrogging’ but structural change: i.e. increasing reliance on thermodynamically efficient (but very energy intensive) heavy industrial activities. Third, we extend our useful work analysis to estimate China’s future primary energy demand, and find values for 2030 that are significantly above mainstream projections. |
| 特色分类 | GE170 Environmental policy$HC0426 China$HD0072 Economic development. Development economics. Economic growth |
| 关键词 | Energy efficiency Energy demand Decomposition China Useful work Exergy |
| URL | http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/57139/ |
| 来源智库 | Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/468579 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Brockway, Paul E,Steinberger, Julia K,Barrett, John R,等. Understanding China’s past and future energy demand: an exergy efficiency and decomposition analysis.. 2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Brockway_et_al_2015_（2667KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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