| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.respol.2015.06.006 |
| ISBN | 0048-7333 |
| What is an emerging technology? | |
| Rotolo, Daniele; Hicks, Diana; Martin, Ben | |
| 发表日期 | 2015-12-01 |
| 出处 | Research Policy |
| 出版者 | Elsevier |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 页码 | 1827-1843 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | There is considerable and growing interest in the emergence of novel technologies, especially from the policy-making perspective. Yet as an area of study, emerging technologies lacks key foundational elements, namely a consensus on what classifies a technology as ’emergent’ and strong research designs that operationalize central theoretical concepts. The present paper aims to fill this gap by developing a definition of ’emerging technologies’ and linking this conceptual effort with the development of a framework for the operationalisation of technological emergence. The definition is developed by combining a basic understanding of the term and in particular the concept of ’emergence’ with a review of key innovation studies dealing with definitional issues of technological emergence. The resulting definition identifies five attributes that feature in the emergence of novel technologies. These are: (i) radical novelty, (ii) relatively fast growth, (iii) coherence, (iv) prominent impact, and (v) uncertainty and ambiguity. The framework for operationalising emerging technologies is then elaborated on the basis of the proposed attributes. To do so, we identify and review major empirical approaches (mainly in, although not limited to, the scientometric domain) for the detection and study of emerging technologies (these include indicators and trend analysis, citation analysis, co-word analysis, overlay mapping, and combinations thereof) and elaborate on how these can be used to operationalise the different attributes of emergence. |
| 特色分类 | H Social Sciences (General) |
| 关键词 | emerging technologies conceptualisation definition attributes of emergence operationalisation detection and analysis framework scientometrics indicators Science and Technology Studies. |
| URL | http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/56071/ |
| 来源智库 | Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/468616 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rotolo, Daniele,Hicks, Diana,Martin, Ben. What is an emerging technology?. 2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| 2015RP_Rotolo_Hicks_（783KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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