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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.3390/en10010051
ISBN1996-1073
Energy rebound as a potential threat to a low-carbon future: findings from a new exergy-based national-level rebound approach.
Brockway, Paul E; Saunders, Harry; Heun, Matthew; Foxon, Timothy; Steinberger, Julia; Barrett, John; Sorrell, Steve
发表日期2017-01-07
出处Energies
出版者MDPI
出版年2017
页码51
语种英语
摘要150 years ago, Stanley Jevons introduced the concept of energy rebound: that anticipated energy efficiency savings may be “taken back” by behavioural responses. This is an important issue today because, if energy rebound is significant, this would hamper the effectiveness of energy efficiency policies aimed at reducing energy use and associated carbon emissions. However, empirical studies which estimate national energy rebound are rare and, perhaps as a result, rebound is largely ignored in energy-economy models and associated policy. A significant difficulty lies in the components of energy rebound assessed in empirical studies: most examine direct and indirect rebound in the static economy, excluding potentially significant rebound of the longer term structural response of the national economy. In response, we develop a novel exergy-based approach to estimate national energy rebound for the UK and US (1980–2010) and China (1981–2010). Exergy—as “available energy”—allows a consistent, thermodynamic-based metric for national-level energy efficiency. We find large energy rebound in China, suggesting that improvements in China’s energy efficiency may be associated with increased energy consumption (“backfire”). Conversely, we find much lower (partial) energy rebound for the case of the UK and US. These findings support the hypothesis that producer-sided economies (such as China) may exhibit large energy rebound, reducing the effectiveness of energy efficiency, unless other policy measures (e.g., carbon taxes) are implemented. It also raises the prospect we need to deploy renewable energy sources faster than currently planned, if (due to rebound) energy efficiency policies cannot deliver the scale of energy reduction envisaged to meet climate targets.
特色分类HC0079.E5 Environmental policy and economic development. Sustainable development Including environmental economics
关键词constant elasticity of substitution (CES) function aggregate production function (APF) energy efficiency energy rebound exergy efficiency exergy macroeconomic rebound energy policy
URLhttp://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/69886/
来源智库Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/468851
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Brockway, Paul E,Saunders, Harry,Heun, Matthew,et al. Energy rebound as a potential threat to a low-carbon future: findings from a new exergy-based national-level rebound approach.. 2017.
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