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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/j.trd.2017.03.025
ISBN1361-9209
Peak car and increasing rebound: a closer look at car travel trends in Great Britain.
Stapleton, Lee; Sorrell, Steve; Schwanen, Tim
发表日期2017-06-01
出处Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
出版者Elsevier
出版年2017
页码217-233
语种英语
摘要This paper uses econometric analysis of aggregate time-series data to explore how different factors have influenced the demand for car travel in Great Britain since 1970 and how the rebound effect has changed over that time. Our results suggest that changes in income, the fuel cost of driving and the level of urbanisation largely explain travel trends over this period – with recent reductions in car travel (peak car) being driven by a combination of the rising fuel cost of driving, increased urbanisation and the economic difficulties created by the 2008 financial crisis. We find some evidence that the proportion of licensed drivers has influenced aggregate travel trends, but no evidence that growing income inequality and the diffusion of ICT technology have played a role. Our results also suggest that the rebound effect from improved fuel efficiency has averaged 26% over this period and that the magnitude of this effect has increased over time. However, methodological and data limitations constrain the level of confidence that we can have in these results.
关键词Peak car Rebound effect Fuel efficiency
URLhttp://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/69143/
来源智库Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/468902
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Stapleton, Lee,Sorrell, Steve,Schwanen, Tim. Peak car and increasing rebound: a closer look at car travel trends in Great Britain.. 2017.
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