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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/j.techfore.2018.02.008
ISBN0040-1625
The death of a transport regime? The future of electric bicycles and transportation pathways for sustainable mobility in China.
Lin, Xiao; Wells, Peter; Sovacool, Benjamin
发表日期2018-03-16
出处Technological Forecasting and Social Change
出版者Elsevier
出版年2018
页码255-267
语种英语
摘要This paper has an empirical and theoretical focus: to empirically assess electric bicycle development in China, and to theoretically test and apply the “Multi-Level Perspective” on transitions and innovation. We examine the electric bicycle (e-bike) sector in China to understand the future prospects for urban mobility and the interaction of e-bikes as a form of vernacular technology within the existing transport regime. For this purpose, we address the following questions: 1) What factors will influence the future adoption of e-bikes? 2) How are alternative travel modes evaluated against e-bikes? 3) Will e-bikes become a popular sustainable mobility mode in the future or only an intermediary mode to cars? To provide answers, we conducted a survey in Nanjing city in order to assess the attitude of e-bike users, other mode users (e.g. pedestrians; bicycle users), and the traffic police. We then analyse responses from this survey through the lens of sociotechnical transitions theory, notably the “Multi-Level Perspective” notions of niches, regimes, and landscape. The paper explores the influential factors underpinning future e-bike adoption and the decision-making calculus behind alternative mode choices. Generalised Linear Models are used to investigate the factors influencing future e-bike adoption and alternative mode choices based on the survey data. We conclude that e-bikes are an intermediary mode on Nanjing’s motorisation pathway, and that they therefore may eventually reflect a dying regime.
URLhttp://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/73202/
来源智库Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/469030
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Lin, Xiao,Wells, Peter,Sovacool, Benjamin. The death of a transport regime? The future of electric bicycles and transportation pathways for sustainable mobility in China.. 2018.
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