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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.techfore.2018.02.008 |
ISBN | 0040-1625 |
The death of a transport regime? The future of electric bicycles and transportation pathways for sustainable mobility in China. | |
Lin, Xiao; Wells, Peter; Sovacool, Benjamin | |
发表日期 | 2018-03-16 |
出处 | Technological Forecasting and Social Change |
出版者 | Elsevier |
出版年 | 2018 |
页码 | 255-267 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper has an empirical and theoretical focus: to empirically assess electric bicycle development in China, and to theoretically test and apply the “Multi-Level Perspective” on transitions and innovation. We examine the electric bicycle (e-bike) sector in China to understand the future prospects for urban mobility and the interaction of e-bikes as a form of vernacular technology within the existing transport regime. For this purpose, we address the following questions: 1) What factors will influence the future adoption of e-bikes? 2) How are alternative travel modes evaluated against e-bikes? 3) Will e-bikes become a popular sustainable mobility mode in the future or only an intermediary mode to cars? To provide answers, we conducted a survey in Nanjing city in order to assess the attitude of e-bike users, other mode users (e.g. pedestrians; bicycle users), and the traffic police. We then analyse responses from this survey through the lens of sociotechnical transitions theory, notably the “Multi-Level Perspective” notions of niches, regimes, and landscape. The paper explores the influential factors underpinning future e-bike adoption and the decision-making calculus behind alternative mode choices. Generalised Linear Models are used to investigate the factors influencing future e-bike adoption and alternative mode choices based on the survey data. We conclude that e-bikes are an intermediary mode on Nanjing’s motorisation pathway, and that they therefore may eventually reflect a dying regime. |
URL | http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/73202/ |
来源智库 | Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/469030 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lin, Xiao,Wells, Peter,Sovacool, Benjamin. The death of a transport regime? The future of electric bicycles and transportation pathways for sustainable mobility in China.. 2018. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
13092017ChinaE-bikeP(1251KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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