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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/j.trd.2018.05.006
ISBN1361-9209
Rebound effects in UK road freight transport.
Sorrell, Steven
发表日期2018-05-15
出处Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
出版者Elsevier
出版年2018
页码156-174
语种英语
摘要This paper analyses aggregate time-series data to estimate the direct rebound effect in UK road freight over the period 1970–2014. We investigate 25 different model specifications, conduct a comprehensive set of diagnostic tests to evaluate the robustness of these specifications and estimate the rebound effect using three different elasticities. Using the mean of the statistically significant estimates from these specifications, we estimate a direct rebound effect of 61% - which is larger than previous estimates in the literature and almost twice as large as the consensus estimate of direct rebound effects in road passenger transport. Using the mean of the estimates from our most robust models, we estimate a slightly lower direct rebound effect of 49%. Our estimates are fairly consistent between different model specifications and different metrics, although individual estimates range from 21% to 137%. We also find that an increasing proportion of UK road freight is being undertaken by foreign registered vehicles, and that increases in the vehicle weight limits have encouraged more freight activity. We highlight the significant limitations imposed by the use of aggregate time series data and recommend that further studies in this area employ data from vehicle use surveys.
特色分类HE0199 Freight (General)
关键词Freight transport, rebound effect Decoupling Fuel cost elasticity
URLhttp://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/75969/
来源智库Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/469058
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GB/T 7714
Sorrell, Steven. Rebound effects in UK road freight transport.. 2018.
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