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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.trd.2018.05.006 |
ISBN | 1361-9209 |
Rebound effects in UK road freight transport. | |
Sorrell, Steven | |
发表日期 | 2018-05-15 |
出处 | Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment |
出版者 | Elsevier |
出版年 | 2018 |
页码 | 156-174 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper analyses aggregate time-series data to estimate the direct rebound effect in UK road freight over the period 1970–2014. We investigate 25 different model specifications, conduct a comprehensive set of diagnostic tests to evaluate the robustness of these specifications and estimate the rebound effect using three different elasticities. Using the mean of the statistically significant estimates from these specifications, we estimate a direct rebound effect of 61% - which is larger than previous estimates in the literature and almost twice as large as the consensus estimate of direct rebound effects in road passenger transport. Using the mean of the estimates from our most robust models, we estimate a slightly lower direct rebound effect of 49%. Our estimates are fairly consistent between different model specifications and different metrics, although individual estimates range from 21% to 137%. We also find that an increasing proportion of UK road freight is being undertaken by foreign registered vehicles, and that increases in the vehicle weight limits have encouraged more freight activity. We highlight the significant limitations imposed by the use of aggregate time series data and recommend that further studies in this area employ data from vehicle use surveys. |
特色分类 | HE0199 Freight (General) |
关键词 | Freight transport, rebound effect Decoupling Fuel cost elasticity |
URL | http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/75969/ |
来源智库 | Science Policy Research Unit (United Kingdom) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/469058 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sorrell, Steven. Rebound effects in UK road freight transport.. 2018. |
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1-s2.0-S136192091731(1177KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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