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来源类型Publication
Are Voters Sensitive to Terrorism? Direct Evidence from the Israeli Electorate
Dr. Claude Berrebi; Dr. Klor F. Esteban
发表日期2007-06
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要This paper relies on the variation of terror attacks across time and space as an instrument to identify the causal effects of terrorism on the preferences of the Israeli electorate. We find that the occurrence of a terror attack within three months of the elections is associated with a 1.35 percentage points increase on the local support for the right bloc of political parties out of the two blocs vote. This effect is of a significant political magnitude given the level of terrorism in Israel and the fact that its electorate is closely split between the right and left blocs. Moreover, a terror fatality has important electoral effects beyond the locality where the attack is perpetrated, and its electoral impact is stronger the closer to the elections it occurs. Interestingly, the observed political effects occur mainly on left-leaning localities and are not affected by the identity of the party holding office. Hence, terrorism does not cause the ideological polarization of the electorate. These results provide strong empirical support for the hypothesis that the electorate shows a highly sensitive reaction to terrorism.

URLhttps://www.neaman.org.il/EN/Are-Voters-Sensitive-Terrorism-Evidence-Electorate
来源智库Science and Technology Policy Institute (Republic of Korea)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/472085
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Dr. Claude Berrebi,Dr. Klor F. Esteban. Are Voters Sensitive to Terrorism? Direct Evidence from the Israeli Electorate. 2007.
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